IDTechEx forecast of item level tags globally to 2015

Note the forecast shows a one cent tag being available around 2008/9. MIT Auto ID Laboratory and EPCglobal have enthused about this being possible because they say silicon chips will become available at 0.2 cents to put in them. However, as far as we can ascertain, no chip maker has shown the slightest interest in such a prospect so there is rather more talk nowadays of this being achieved by replacing the chip with printed transistor circuits or another alternative such as the so-called Surface Acoustic Wave SAW devices already seen in medium priced RFID applications. 2004 2007 2010 2015 TopSide 1.0 10 50 2,000 Most likely 0.2 3 15 1,000 * Source IDTechEx

Pallet and case tagging will benefit item level tagging

RFID that is not item level, notably the mandated tagging of cases and pallets, together with applications taking similar tags and systems will get tag cost down to 5 cents within four years if only because ten billion or so will be bought yearly. System and software cost will similarly benefit. Indeed, it will mean that systems are partly in place as item level tagging is introduced because we shall have wireless networks within networks. This cost structure will then make large high value items economically and physically taggable - thus the fifteen billion tagged items we project in 2010. These will be mainly high priced retail goods and some postal packages but surprises may occur.

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